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Fundamental Analysis Fundamental Analysis with FinServCorp

Why and How Is Gold Fundamentally Bullish For The Time Being?

Gold is an asset that gains traction during periods of low interest and / or high inflation. Therefore, it is an alternative asset class most of the time for investors to pour their money into.

High Interest Rate Environments

Higher interest rates attract investment flows into interest bearing securities. As such, money circulation goes out of Gold, thereby causing a Gold market crash. The opposite is true for a Low Interest Rate Environment

High Inflation Environments

When facing periods of high inflation, Gold is seen by investors as an inflation-hedge. Therefore, the money flowing into Gold is seen to increase. Thereby causing a Gold market rally. The opposite is true for a High Interest Rate Environment

Deriving a Bias using Interest Rates and Inflation Numbers

Interest Rates are the key economic and financial indicators that control all markets. Bonds and their rates set by the Fed rule all asset classes. Whereas, inflation is only a ‘pseudo-state’ of an economy.

If interest rates are seen to rise while inflation is low, Gold is definitely bearish as money will flow into interest bearing securities

If interest rates are seen to rise while inflation is high, Gold is still bearish as interest bearing securities would offer more in terms of higher interest that will counter the inflation as per inflation adjusted returns

If interest rates are seen to not change while inflation is high, Gold will spark a bull run as there is no particular interest in the interest bearing securities if there is no rise in the interest rates

If interest rates are seen to not change while inflation is low, Gold will face a sideways market or a crash as there will be no particular interest in the interest bearing securities or Gold themselves. Money will flow into the stock market

If interest rates are seen to be low while inflation is either high or low, money will still flow into Gold as that is the only attractive asset for this economic condition

To Conclude

When looking at the weekly expansion of Gold or any asset class for that matter, it is important to note that the expansion itself is a consequence of the prevailing economic condition at hand. These things are set the previous week or during the current week after a High Impact News Driver has occurred.

Be sure to follow us on instagram at @finservcorp and subscribe to our YouTube at @shaundytradesfx to keep up with our time-based trading content and updates to Mentorship Enrolments!

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London Trading

London Fractal Dealing Range

So, you are here because our Fractal Dealing Range caught your eye right? Well that is good. Not good, in fact it is great! In this short blog post, I will be covering the exact steps you need to go through in order to master the London Fractal Dealing Range. It is a constant and will never change.

How To Define The Fractal Dealing Range

Now, the Dealing Range of concern within the London Session’s Time Range as per our London Time Range Model is between 03:10AM EST and 03:30AM EST. You will be focusing on the closing prices of the candle that made the highest high and the candle that made the lowest low.

If price breaks out to the upside and the underlying context behind price movement is Bullish based on our Fractal Time Principle and Fractal Liquidity Sequential Principle, the low of the Fractal Dealing Range has an 80%+ probability of holding for the day or for the London Session only (Depends on HTF analysis OBVIOUSLY)

If price breaks out to the downside and the underlying context behind price movement is Bearish based on all the same points as the above, the high of the Fractal Dealing Range has an 80%+ probability of holding for the day or for the London Session only

Low Probability Conditions

When there is a High Impact News Driver, the Fractal Dealing Range may see a whipsaw in price unless liquidity has already been taken or a gap has been filled prior to the breakout of the Fractal Dealing Range. If none of them has been fulfilled as per the base function of price, wait for the High Impact News Driver to pass and see what you can do then

Using the Fractal Dealing Range as a POI Selector and Inversion Levels

This very range houses all the most important POIs relevant to the day and relevant in the future if they remain unmitigated. When price trades through the Fractal Dealing Range in the direction opposite to the initial breakout, the range itself can be inverted and you can find POIs within it across TIME. Remember, the act of moving in the horizontal plane is the movement of TIME and not PRICE. Price is applied vertically and Time is applied horizontally. Don’t worry, you can’t do much with that last piece of information 🙂

Conclusion

If you want a few chart examples, be sure to go check out our YouTube Video down below:

If you ever are in need of mentoring in order to make your trading easy and to solve any and all issues you may have, you can send a message to shaundytradesfx on telegram (no other special characters in the username)

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Fundamental Analysis with FinServCorp

Unemployment Rate in Forex Trading: A Comprehensive Guide | FinServCorp

Introduction

The unemployment rate is more than just a statistic; it’s a powerful indicator of a country’s economic health and a significant driver in the forex market. For traders, understanding the nuances of the unemployment rate can be the key to predicting market movements and making informed trading decisions.


Historical Trends of the Unemployment Rate

Over the past few decades, the unemployment rate has seen its highs and lows, often correlating with global economic events. For instance:

  • The 2008 financial crisis saw a sharp spike in unemployment rates globally, with the U.S. reaching a peak of 10% in October 2009.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to unprecedented job losses, pushing the U.S. unemployment rate to 14.7% in April 2020, the highest since the Great Depression.

These fluctuations often mirror broader economic trends, making the unemployment rate a crucial metric for traders to monitor.


Impact on the US Economy and Forex Market

The unemployment rate directly affects consumer spending, which accounts for a significant portion of the U.S. GDP. High unemployment can lead to:

  • Decreased Consumer Confidence: When job security is low, consumers tend to spend less, impacting sectors like retail, real estate, and manufacturing.
  • Reduced Central Bank Interest Rates: To stimulate the economy, central banks might lower interest rates, which can weaken the currency in the forex market.
  • Foreign Investment Fluctuations: High unemployment can deter foreign investors, leading to reduced demand for the country’s currency.

For forex traders, these shifts can signal potential market movements, offering opportunities for strategic trades.

Monthly Unemployment Rates 2023 (Statista, 2023)

Trading Strategies Around the Unemployment Rate

  1. Anticipate the News: Major unemployment announcements can lead to market volatility. Traders can set up positions in anticipation of these announcements.
  2. Trade the Rumor, Sell the News: Often, the market will move in anticipation of a news event and then correct after the announcement. Recognizing this pattern can be profitable.
  3. Leverage Technical Analysis: Combine unemployment data with technical indicators such as our Bias Predictor to identify potential entry and exit points along with the bias

Conclusion

The unemployment rate is a pivotal economic indicator that can offer valuable insights for forex traders. By understanding its historical context, current implications, and potential market impact, traders can make more informed decisions. Dive deeper into such insights with FinServCorp’s comprehensive mentorship on how you can achieve greatness with our Time-Based Trading Strategies.

So if you want to master the art of understanding economic indicators and putting that understanding to profitable use, join The Trading Academy today!

Categories
London Trading

The Ultimate Guide to the London Time Range Strategy: Everything You Need to Know

The London Time Range strategy is one of the most powerful London Session trading models that we use. While, it goes far deeper than what you are about to read, you should be able to do well with the objective rules that you are about to be given. As for chart examples, stay tuned for the YouTube video about this strategy.

The time range, as with all our time-based approaches to price, is based on the doubling theory and the nodes of time used by us.

The Time Range

The time range falls within the following 2 times:

  • 2.30AM EST
  • 4.30AM EST

The London Time Range falls within these two times:

  • 2.30
  • 4.30

This is combination of our 90-minute Liquidity Cycles that we have been working on since ICT (The Inner Circle Trader) mentioned it on his Telegram channel before he closed it down

As the pioneer of the APPLICATION of the 90-minute Liquidity Cycles, this London Time Range is a GOLDMINE for London Setups

In saying that, we prefer using most of our trading models on Gold and NASDAQ as they are the asset classes that provide the most volatility in trading the financial markets. That also means a faster stop loss. But you’ll be careful right?

The Purpose of this Time Range

To engage in the continuation of price or the reversal of price based on where price is relative to the 00.36AM EST Opening Price. This is another data point derived from our Fractal Time Theory, something that we focus on heavily in the mentorship and our One on One mentorship as well.

We understand that price moves to liquidate or to rebalance inefficient areas of price. This time range inside of London will seek to do exactly one of the two fundamental functions of price.

Remember, premium is considered as above the 00.36AM EST Opening Price and discount is considered to be below this Opening Price.

Algorithmic Delivery

Most ‘Smart Money’ / ‘ICT Gurus’ claim that the London Session is a breeding ground for liquidity and by that point, people should avoid getting ‘slaughtered’. That’s just pure stupidity. They have no clue what they are doing 🙂

We BEG to differ! Any time interval, any session. We trade them all with our Algorithmic Theory, The Fractal Time Theory (Mentorship only)

Every Session is to be treated as an isolated ‘incident’. Only when you are taking the ENTIRE DAY into account will you be considering the London Session as a phase of intra-day manipulation.

How Do I Apply This Algorithmic Theory?

Simple.

Step 1:

Before you start trading London, you are waiting for it to be the right time of day. in this case, the 2.30AM EST to 4.30AM EST Time Range

Step 2:

You will then identify whether price is REVERSING or CONTINUING

Step 3:

Depending on your trading model, enter a position. Note that you are entering with confluencing factors such as displacement, fair value gaps, etc.

Concluding Note

For chart examples and an in-depth explanation of this strategy or model as the cool kids like to call it, be sure to watch out for our YouTube video on the subject matter.

If you are keen on learning the Fractal Time Theory and all our time-based approaches to trading, be sure to check out our mentorship below:

https://www.finservcorp.net/the-trading-academy/

Note: The services provided by FinServCorp will be changing into a High Ticket System

$85/Month: Mentorship Access to Video Library

$120/Month: Mentorship Access to Video Library + Discord Community

$150/Month: Mentorship Access to Video Library + Discord Community + Resources + 4 One on One Sessions a Month (Free)

From the end of the first quarter of 2024 it will be:

$2000 upfront fee: 1 Week of Intensive One on One Sessions learning all you need to know

This is followed by a 6 month grace period of having access to everything for free and to recoup your investment. After the 6 months are done with, it will be $150/Month to retain your membership.

The reason for this is we want to retain high quality members that consider their education an investment and not a time-pass.

Stay tuned for the Blog Post explaining this change. Until then, good luck and good trading 🙂